Thursday, May 22, 2008

How many seats?

Based on official results from 1697 precincts, the National Movement will take 47 of the 75 party list seats.

The formidable calculated the ruling party to have at least 50 seats, but I can't sort out how they arrived at that number. (If a reader can, please comment.)

By my figures, the National Movement's percent of the vote earns them 45 seats; the United Opposition 11, the Christian Democrats 6 and Labor 5.

That leaves eight seats unallocated. According to the CEC's legal department, contacted before the election to clarify the ambiguous wording in the election code, unallocated seats are given one by one to the parties in parliament, starting with the highest vote-getter and working downwards. With four parties in parliament, each party gets a two-seat boost.

At least 13 majoritarian seats are already clearly in the government column, but at this point they're expected to win close to 70 of the 75 majoritarian seats.

That would give the government 117 MPs, well over the 100 needed for a supermajority.


At May 22, 2008 at 3:42 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

So presumably they'll have no problem seating parliament, even if all the other parties boycott, yes?

Tim B.

At May 22, 2008 at 3:53 PM , Blogger Winston Featherly said...

Right you are. In fact, a basic quorum is only 50 members. ("No less than one-third," Article 66.1)


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