Saturday, January 5, 2008

Exit poll projects Saakashvili win

The group of four local organizations, commissioned by Rustavi 2 and other TV networks, have released preliminary exit poll results:

See our earlier post for why this could be a problem.

Misha Saakashvili: 52.5%
Levan Gachechiladze: 28.5%
Badri Patarkatsishvili: 6%
Shalva Natelashvili: 5.5%
Davit Gamkrelidze: 3.6%
Gia Maisashvili: 0.8%
Irina Sarishvili: 0.4%

Margin of error is 2%, and the non-response rate was 23%.

The non-response rate could be a disputed factor; Gutbrod of CRRC suggests Saakashvili's campaign may be premature in declaring a victory tonight.


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